Fairhope, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

447
FXUS64 KMOB 242353
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
653 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Now Through Friday Night...

Through Friday night, a modest shortwave trof exits the south
central states and becomes a bit better defined while advancing
across much of the southeastern states, and a central Canada upper
trof meanwhile advances into the northeast states. A surface low
develops in response to this pattern and brings a trailing cold
front into the interior southeast states, but otherwise a light
southerly flow prevails over the forecast area. Will have mostly dry
conditions for tonight except for a slight chance for showers and
storms over Wayne and Choctaw counties. For Friday, have gone with
slight chance to chance pops mostly west of I-65, then dry
conditions prevail for Friday night. Lows tonight and Friday night
range from the lower 60s inland to the mid 60s near the coast, and
patchy late night fog is possible. Highs on Friday will be in the
mid 80s except for lower 80s at the coast. A low risk of rip
currents tonight and Friday will be followed by a moderate risk for
Friday night. /29

Saturday Through Thursday...

Northwesterly flow aloft will be in place at the start of the
period as an upper-level ridge builds from Mexico into the central
US. A weak shortwave, embedded within the flow aloft, appears to
pass across the local area on Sunday. By Monday, the upper ridge
begins to build eastward; its axis passing directly overhead
Monday night into Tuesday. Flow aloft turns southwesterly by
Wednesday and Thursday as the ridge moves into the western
Atlantic. At the surface, high pressure over the northern US will
quickly dive southeastward, reaching the Appalachians by Sunday
night and the western Atlantic by Monday night. As it does so, it
will help to send a very weak `backdoor cold front` into the area
from the northeast on Sunday. The front will quickly wash out by
Monday as the high builds in across the southeast US.

For Saturday, expecting a continued persistence forecast from the
near term period, with isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms developing during the afternoon hours over interior
portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama (mainly west
of I-65). By Sunday, as the upper shortwave passes overhead and
the frontal boundary moves in from the northeast, expecting
another round of scattered showers/storms to develop along during
the afternoon hours. As of right now, the best rain chances
appear to remain focused along the front. We begin to dry out on
Monday and especially into Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper
ridge builds overhead. Rain chances return to the forecast by
Thursday as the ridge moves off to the east. Highs will top out in
the mid to upper 80s, with a few interior locations reaching the
low 90s. Lows each night will be in the 60s. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 648 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the evening before low
ceilings and fog will likely develop after midnight. IFR to LIFR
ceilings are expected across most of the area tonight with some
patchy fog across southcentral Alabama and interior portions of
the northwestern Florida Panhandle. Fog quickly mixes out during
the morning; however, ceilings will likely be slower to return to
VFR conditions tomorrow morning. Winds will remain light out of
the south.

BB-8


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

A generally light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will prevail
through Tuesday. Patchy fog will be possible mainly over northwest
Florida bay waters late tonight and again late Friday night. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      65  84  64  86  65  88  65  86 /   0  10   0  10   0  20  10  10
Pensacola   67  81  65  83  67  86  68  84 /   0  10   0  10   0  10  10  10
Destin      68  81  68  82  69  84  69  83 /   0  10   0  10   0  20  10  10
Evergreen   61  87  60  88  63  89  63  89 /   0  10   0  20  10  30  10  20
Waynesboro  63  85  62  86  63  87  63  89 /  20  40  10  30  10  30  10  10
Camden      61  85  61  86  63  86  63  88 /  10  30  10  20  10  30  10  20
Crestview   61  86  61  89  62  91  62  90 /   0  10   0  10  10  30  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob